August 18-26, approx 3100 RV, MOE +-2
Kerry 46 (44)
Bush 46 (47)
Nader 2 (2)
Kerry has a slight lead in the two-way race in this sample, but the exact numbers aren't up yet (I infer this from the article noting that Nader is pulling more from Kerry than Bush) In the prior poll, Bush led 47-45 in a two-way. Here's the link:
http://www.dispatch.com/news-story.php?story=dispatch/2004/08/29/20040829-A1-00.html
More info below:
*Kerry leads by 12 points amongst independents; however Bush is running slightly better amongst Repubs than Kerry is amongst Dems (the article doesn't give exact numbers, but notes there are more Dem undecideds than Repubs; that's not necessarily awful news)
*Bush's job approval numbers here are unchanged--52% approve, 48% disapprove.
*54% of respondents disapprove of Bush's handling of the economy, and 54% also believe that the country is on the wrong track.
*Amongst the 6% who describe themselves as undecided, 75% disapprove of Bush's handling of the economy, and 72% believes the country is on the wrong track.
*Nader is taking slightly more from Kerry than Bush, but the exact numbers aren't given
*Kerry leads by 2 points amongst voters who have registered in 2004.
*At this stage if the 2000 race, Bush had a 6% lead over Gore in the Dispatch poll, and then went on to win the state by 3.6%, despite Gore pulling out a few weeks before election day.
*In the Senate Race, Fingherhut has made some gains; he now trails by 14, whereas he trailed by 21 in the previous sample of mid-July.