Aug 23-25, 600 LV, MOE +-4.
Last sample was Kerry 49, Bush 44, so, mirroring other polls, there's been some closure. But I do find it mildly encouraging that Bush hasn't moved ahead here. I continue to think that Kerry has probably stabilized (though I know Rasmussen wasn't great today, but I refuse to get too upset over day-to-day movements in a tracking poll. Also note that if you just take the top line numbers from the Rasmussen state polls, Kerry still wins an EV victory, with exactly 270 picks--he gains OH and loseS WI)
If Bush doesn't open up a consistent, across-the-polls lead of 5 or more, after the convention, he remains in terrible trouble, IMHO.